Monday, November 22, 2010

After the Fed’s Action, Watching Inflation’s Trajectory

By Floyd Norris The New York times

“In the short run, disinflationary forces in Western economies, especially the U.S., appear too powerful to be overwhelmed by the recent loosening of monetary policy,” Read on......

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Saturday, November 20, 2010

China Assails Monetary Easing, Citing `Imported Inflation,' Bubble Risks

China renewed an attack on quantitative easing, citing the risk of increased prices in emerging economies, a day after the Group of 20 nations said the markets can adopt regulatory steps to cope.

Roubini Maps Out Nightmare Scenario of Domino Debt Collapse in Europe

By: Ash Bennington  CNBC.com

"We have too much private debt in the case of Ireland," according to Nouriel Roubini.

But the nub of the crisis is this: "We have decided to socialize the private losses of the banking system. Now you have a huge increase in public debt—going from 7 percent to 100 percent of GDP. Soon it will be 120 percent." And, turning more broadly to the rest of Europe, "Greece is already at 120 percent."

Roubini believes that further attempts at intervention have only increased the magnitude of the problems with sovereign debt. He says, "Now you have a bunch of super sovereigns— the IMF, the EU, the eurozone—bailing out these sovereigns."  Continued....


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Friday, November 19, 2010

What it really takes to get unemployment down

Posted by Nin-Hai Tseng, reporter  CNNMoney.com

The harsh reality is that it will take tremendous growth in the GDP even to make a small dent in the unemployment rate. Despite some mildly good economic news this week including an uptick in retail sales for October, the US economy is likely still years away from seeing unemployment fall in any meaningful way.

In fact, the American economy appears to barely be able to keep joblessness from rising further. US unemployment has held steady at 9.6% since August. For the three months ending in September, GDP grew at annual rate of 2% -- still a bit short from the 3% minimum needed to solidly keep the jobless rate from trending up. But the economy needs to grow at more than double that rate -- 5% -- in order to shrink the unemployment rate by just one percentage point.


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QE2: 3 signs to watch for progress

Posted by Nin-Hai Tseng, reporter CNNMoney.com

Many economists and market commentators are convinced that the Fed's move to pump $600 billion into the economy by buying up long-term bonds will do more harm than good for America's economic recovery.Quantitative easing, as it's technically called, is rarely used by central bankers to boost the economy. So while the Fed's last-ditch policy prescription might be well intended, the outcome is still very much uncertain.

If it's successful, a few things would happen


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How Shareholder Value is Really Created

By Greg Canavan for The Daily Reckoning

In today’s volatile investment world, it is the key to preserving and growing your wealth. In bull markets you can get away with a lack of discipline on the valuation front. In a post credit crisis world characterised by monetary disorder, you don’t have that luxury. The concept of the margin of safety simply refers to the difference between a company’s share price and its intrinsic value. Valuations are subjective and are only as good as the assumptions you make. Continued......


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Bernanke Claims QE II will Create 700,000 to 1 Million Jobs; Where? Mexico, Peru, China

By Mike "Mish" Shedlock for Global Economic Trend Analysis

In the truth is stranger than fiction category, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke tells US Senators that Quantitative Easing will create 700,000 to 1 Million Jobs.
Inquiring minds are asking, if that's all it took, why didn't he do so in 2008 when the unemployment rate started soaring? Why not double it and create 1.4 to 2 million jobs?

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Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Inflation - The Story of two Tales

US Fed is trying to stimulate inflation whilst at the same time the Chinese Government try's to dampen inflationary pressures....

Inflation at lowest level since 1957 By Annalyn Censky, staff reporter CNNMoney.com

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Consumer prices for everything other than food and energy are rising, but at a rate so sluggish, it's the smallest price increase on record, the government said Wednesday.

China imposes price controls to stave off inflation  By By Chris Isidore, senior writer CNNMoney.com

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- China moved Wednesday to put price controls in place to deal with rising inflation pressures. The government announced price control guidelines and said it would put state reserves of grains, edible oils and sugar on the market when necessary in order to guarantee supplies, according to Gov.cn, the English language Web site of the Chinese government.


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Why True Prosperity Doesn’t Come from a Printing Press

By Bill Bonner: The Daily Reckoning

Did you pay attention to our "Crash Alert" flag, dear reader? Hope so. This market is dangerous. Because it is built on a lie - that EZ money from the Fed's printing press will cause stocks to rise, interest rates to go down, and the economy to revive.

It ain't gonna happen...........


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Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Europe Fears That Debt Crisis Is Ready to Spread

LONDON — European officials, increasingly concerned that the Continent’s debt crisis will spread, are warning that any new rescue plans may need to cover Portugal as well as Ireland to contain the problem they tried to resolve six months ago. Continued....
 
 
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Open Letter to Ben Bernanke

 
The following is the text of an open letter to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke signed by several economists, along with investors and political strategists, most of them close to Republicans:

We believe the Federal Reserve’s large-scale asset purchase plan (so-called “quantitative easing”) should be reconsidered and discontinued.  We do not believe such a plan is necessary or advisable under current circumstances.  The planned asset purchases risk currency debasement and inflation, and we do not think they will achieve the Fed’s objective of promoting employment.

We subscribe to your statement in the Washington Post on November 4 that “the Federal Reserve cannot solve all the economy’s problems on its own.”  In this case, we think improvements in tax, spending and regulatory policies must take precedence in a national growth program, not further monetary stimulus.

We disagree with the view that inflation needs to be pushed higher, and worry that another round of asset purchases, with interest rates still near zero over a year into the recovery, will distort financial markets and greatly complicate future Fed efforts to normalize monetary policy.

The Fed’s purchase program has also met broad opposition from other central banks and we share their concerns that quantitative easing by the Fed is neither warranted nor helpful in addressing either U.S. or global economic problems. For the list of economists.....
 
 
 
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Sunday, November 14, 2010

QE Explained.....

Confused about Quantitative Easing? Watch this entertaining short video.....  

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Commodities fall off a cliff

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The commodities rally has cooled off, with prices for precious metals, oil and agricultural raw materials plunging Friday after a record-breaking run earlier in the week.

A surprise jump in China's inflation rate spooked investors and sparked a sharp sell-off Friday. China's announcement that consumer prices in the country rose 4.4% in October fueled fears that the world's second-largest economy is barreling ahead at an unsustainable speed. Read on....


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Banks 'too big to fail' to get own rules: report

ABJ – Nov. 10 – The G20, meeting for the beginning of a summit in South Korea today, will hammer out regulations for banks deemed essential to the global economy and those vital to their nation's domestic economic health, the Financial Times is reporting. Continued....

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