Thursday, May 5, 2011

The 50 Most Innovative Companies

The 50 Most Innovative Companies - MIT’s Technology Review ranks the 50 most innovative companies (public and private).

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Length of Economic Recoveries

Length of Economic Recoveries in the U.S - Graphed

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What is Consciousness?

What is Consciousness? Make up your own mind....... Great interactive visualisation

Ideas, issues, knowledge, data - visualised

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Friday, April 29, 2011

The Truth About the Financial Crisis, Part III

Jennifer S. Taub is a Lecturer and Coordinator of the Business Law Program at the Isenberg School of Management, University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Her research interests include corporate governance, financial regulation, investor protection, mutual fund governance, shareholders rights and sustainable business. Previously, Professor Taub was an Associate General Counsel for Fidelity Investments in Boston and Assistant Vice President for the Fidelity Fixed Income Funds. She graduated cum laude from Harvard Law School and earned her undergraduate degree, cum laude, with distinction in the English major from Yale College. Professor Taub is currently writing a book on the financial crisis for Yale University Press.

The Truth About the Financial Crisis,  Part I and Part II were published earlier this week.

This post is the last installment in a three-part series harvesting the recent Financial Crisis Inquiry Report(FCIC Report) to debunk the top-ten urban myths about the Financial Crisis.



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Nassim Taleb on Living with Black Swans

Nassim Taleb is a literary essayist, hedge fund manager, derivatives trader and professor of risk engineering at The Polytechnic Institute of New York University. But he is best known these days as the author of The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. During a recent visit to Wharton as part of The Goldstone Forum, he spoke with Wharton finance professor..........

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Top Five Signs That You’re Wealthy

 A new survey offers some other clues on how to know if you are rich........

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The Random Walk in Doubt

missing bes & worst days-in-markets
 
A Random Walk.... The Buy & Hold investor Vs Missing the 5 best days of the market Vs Avoiding the 5 worst ones. 'He who can time the market does best'......

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Thursday, April 28, 2011

Fed Ownership of the Yield Curve

by macromon

We’re with the conventional wisdom of no QE3, no massive flight to quality, or a miracle long-term budget agreement.  We therefore expect continued upward pressure on interest rates.   We recently posted our ...... continued

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How To Improve Your Equity Curve With Zero Skill


There are a number of things that make a person a better trader, and several of those things have absolutely nothing to do with a person’s ability to trade. Over the years, I have seen a number of wildly different scenarios – from money mangers charging huge on the front and / or backend to retail traders going with a broker that charges them extraordinarily high costs. Some people realize the high impact transaction costs have on them over the long run while others tend to sacrifice this knowledge for other things.

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Ten Wall Street Blogs You Need To Bookmark Now

By DAVID WEIDNER  The Wall Street Journal

These homespun sites break news, offer wit and insight that wasn't even available a few years ago. Some have risen to the point of being must-reads on a daily basis.

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Is a US Default Inevitable?

By Barry Ritholtz  The Big Picture

Pragmatic Capitalism ran this last July– while I don’t agree with it, I do find it thought provoking:

Download: Jeff Gundlach’s Guide To Inevitable American Default

JEFF GUNDLACH SAYS THE USA WILL DEFAULT



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Firefox 4 Zooms Past 100 Million Downloads

by Pingdom

We bet the team over at Mozilla is about to pop open a few bottles of bubbly. Why?

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Emerging Pressures

By Dan Denning  from The Daily Reckoning

The annual inflation rate for Australia is now running at about 3.3%. Are the major culprits unforeseen circumstances, like cyclone Yasi and the flooding in Queensland???? Read on

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Robert Shiller and Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel and Stock Valuations

 Yale economist Robert Shiller and Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel face off over which method is best for calculating stock market value

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Monday, April 25, 2011

U.S Tax Dollars

Instant Pie Chart of where your $$$ go.....    :)

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Economic Optimism Plummets Across Demographic Groups

Americans' optimism about the future direction of the U.S. economy plunged in March for the second month in a row, as the percentage of Americans saying the economy is "getting better" fell to 33% -- down from 41% in January. It is also down three points from the 36% of March 2010.  Continued.....

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The Truth About the Financial Crisis, Part II

By Barry Ritholtz

Jennifer S. Taub is a Lecturer and Coordinator of the Business Law Program at the Isenberg School of Management, University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Her research interests include corporate governance, financial regulation, investor protection, mutual fund governance, shareholders rights and sustainable business. Previously, Professor Taub was an Associate General Counsel for Fidelity Investments in Boston and Assistant Vice President for the Fidelity Fixed Income Funds. She graduated cum laude from Harvard Law School and earned her undergraduate degree, cum laude, with distinction in the English major from Yale College. Professor Taub is currently writing a book on the financial crisis for Yale University Press.

The Truth About the Financial Crisis,  Part I was published yesterday.

Last week, I began musing here, about mining the Financial Crisis Inquiry Report to confront the top ten urban myths about the Financial Crisis.  Expecting to dash off a blog series in a day or so, I found that my eyes were bigger than my brain capacity. Though I had read a good portion of the Report, it took many days longer to digest all 530 or so pages.

I selected most of the urban myths  before I began reading. They emanated from wider study of this topic, experience watching the Dodd-Frank legislation and implementation unfold, and also questions that come my way while teaching a course that includes a segment on the Financial Crisis.

So, here goes.....



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The Fibonacci in Lateralus

From: philriehl 

The Fibonacci sequence in Tool's Lateralus. 

Great video..... Fibonacci never seemed so cool :)

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G-20 Targets ‘Too Big to Ignore’

By Simon Kennedy and Sandrine Rastello - Bloomberg

The U.S., China and five other large economies will face deeper scrutiny from their peers to ensure their policies don’t derail a global expansion that finance chiefs bet is strong enough to absorb recent shocks.

The seven countries have a gross domestic product greater than 5 percent of the Group of 20 nations’ economy, and so carry “the greater potential for spillover effects,” read on.....


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Friday, April 22, 2011

Bread and Revolution, 1848 and 2011: More Upheaval Ahead

The Truth About the Financial Crisis, Part I

By Barry Ritholtz - The Big Picture

Jennifer S. Taub is a Lecturer and Coordinator of the Business Law Program at the Isenberg School of Management, University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Her research interests include corporate governance, financial regulation, investor protection, mutual fund governance, shareholders rights and sustainable business. Professor Taub is currently writing a book on the financial crisis for Yale University Press.

After reading much of the final report identifying the causes of the Financial Crisis in the United States, released last Thursday December 27, by the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, I have one suggestion.  But before I get to it, allow me to explain.   Read On.......



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The 100 Most Respected Companies

By VITO J. RACANELLI Baron's

EACH YEAR Barron's surveys professional money managers about their views of the world's 100 largest companies, based on total stock-market capitalization at year end, as determined by Dow Jones Indexes. This year's survey, conducted with the help of Beta Research in Syosset, N.Y., elicited responses from 92 investors across the country, ranging from proprietors of small advisory firms to the chief investment officers of money-management giants overseeing billions of dollars.

Money managers indicated the degree to which they respect–or don’t respect–the world’s 100 largest public companies (measured by total market value as of Dec. 27).
This year’s ranking saw some formerly sterling names, such as Johnson & Johnson and Toyota, fall sharply, while Apple retained its coveted No. 1 spot and Amazon.com rose to No. 2.

For the full 100 companies.........

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Rich Man, Poor Man

by Richard Russell

MAKING MONEY: The most popular piece I’ve published in 40 years of writing these Letters was entitled, “Rich Man, Poor Man.” I have had dozens of requests to run this piece again or for permission to reprint it for various business organizations.

Making money entails a lot more than predicting which way the stock or bond markets are heading or trying to figure which stock or fund will double over the next few years. For the great majority of investors, making money requires a plan, self-discipline and desire. I say, “for the great majority of people” because if you’re a Steven Spielberg or a Bill Gates you don’t have to know about the Dow or the markets or about yields or price/earnings ratios. You’re a phenomenon in your own field, and you’re going to make big money as a by-product of your talent and ability. But this kind of genius is rare.

For the average investor, you and me, we’re not geniuses so we have to have a financial plan. In view of this, I offer below a few items that we must be aware of if we are serious about making money. Continued......


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Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Inflation’s First Phase

By Chris Mayer  

The year 2011 is the year when inflation will play the role of wrecking ball. It seems to threaten everything from emerging markets to the pretty earnings narrative of the market as a whole.

I use the term "inflation" here as the man on the street does. It is when prices for most everything go up. It is not the best definition, because it obscures the reason why prices for most everything go up in the first place. The reason is continued.....



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Wednesday, February 2, 2011

World Market Valuation Heat Map

Great blog post on Seeking Delta, ranks 71 countries according to P/B, P/E. Well worth a look.

According to this valuation method Japan and developed Europe appear to be the cheapest markets (no big surprise) with Asia and the big commodity players (Australia and Canada) being the most expensive. The US comes out in about the middle; 36th out of 71 countries ranked. See map.

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IMF: Global rebound 'not the recovery we wanted

By Annalyn Censky  NEW YORK (CNNMoney)

Growing economic imbalances on a global scale and greater income inequality could fuel the next crisis, the head of the International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday.

"While the recovery is underway, it is not the recovery we wanted. It is a recovery beset by tensions and strains -- which could even sow the seeds of the next crisis,"  Read more....


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Don't Bet on the Super Bowl Indicator

By Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch 

The Super Bowl Indicator, of course, holds that stocks will rise over the coming year if the winning team can trace its roots back to the original National Football League — and will fall if that team’s roots are in the old American Football League. Followers claim that the Indicator has close to an 80% success rate, far better than most other popular stock market timing systems. Continued.....

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Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Master Credit Plan of the Global Elite

By Dan Denning   The Daily Reckoning

At last. A prediction of the world’s economic future that is as bombastic and grandiose on the positive side as your editor’s is on the negative side.

Investment and urbanisation are the twin engines that will drive global GDP from $62 trillion last year to $143 trillion by 2030, according to Gerard Lyons at London’s Standard Chartered.

This is the superest of “super cycles. Continued....


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The S&P500 in 2011: What’s past is prologue?

Let’s be honest and a little humble as we venture into the “great wide open” of 2011. Nobody really has a clue what path the markets will take.  
Given what we’ve all been through and the uncertainty and plethora of risks going into the new year, we feel a bit like Rod Taylor and Teppi Hedren mid-movie into Hitchcock’s,  The Birds.  
And those sea gulls look a lot like black swans to us. Continued.....

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Markets Rediscover the Fundamentals

Greed and fear no longer seem to be playing such a violent game of tug-of-war with markets.

After a long stretch in which macroeconomic hopes and fears dictated the rise and fall of stocks, bonds and commodities—known in the market as the risk-on, risk-off trade—there are tentative signs that more-traditional concerns are reasserting their power.

In recent weeks, read on.....



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Can China Learn from US Mistakes?

By Greg Canavan  The Daily Reckoning

Back in the heady days of the credit boom, nearly all markets were reaching record highs at the same time. Now, after the bust, some have recovered better than others. The ‘topping out’ thesis is not so uniform.

What we mean is that the liquidity-induced recovery in the global economy, and equity and commodity markets, may be coming to an end. Not as in running into a brick wall, but a slow dawning on investors that all is not right in the world. Continued...


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Monday, January 24, 2011

Big Tops

By Greg Canavan  The Daily Reckoning

Is the market beginning to top out? We think so.

Last night, the S&P500 fell 1 per cent, although the large cap Dow Jones Industrials index only fell a few points. Nothing too dramatic, and certainly not enough to scare the permanently bullish, but it’s probably a sign of things to come. Continued.....



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Friday, January 21, 2011

Long Term Stock Market Growth (1871-2010)

By Barry Ritholtz - The Big Picture

I was kicking around some of the outstanding charts at Visualizing Economics, when these two below leapt out at me.

The first chart shows the long term growth of the US stock market, using a smoothed exponential trendline, while the second adjusts the overall chart using a log scale.

As I look at these two charts, a few things stand out to me: Read on......



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The Biggest Resource Stories for 2011…and Beyond!

By Byron King The Daily Reckoning

I'm going to countdown three of 2010's biggest resource stories - not to reminisce about profitable investments from the year gone by, but to highlight what I believe will be very profitable investments in the year ahead...continued

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Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Long-Term Trends vs. Short-Term Corrections

By Eric J. Fry The Daily Reckoning

long-term trends sometimes succumb to large, short- term corrections.........  In a bull market, such setbacks are buying opportunities. In bear markets, every price is a selling opportunity......... more.....

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Five Chinese trade tricks

By Steve Hargreaves, senior writer CNNMoney

Chinese President Hu Jintao is visiting the United States this week, and simmering trade disputes between the two countries will likely be high on the agenda.

The United States and China, the world's largest and second largest economies respectively, do a brisk business in trade.

But the trade relationship between the two nations isn't balanced. The United States  continued......


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Sharemarket watchdog targets computer trading

  • Andrew Main 
  • From:The Australian 

  • RECENTLY appointed sharemarket surveillance manager ASIC is planning a crackdown on potentially dangerous algorithmic share trading as the worldwide trend to automated orders takes hold here.
    In its first supervision report since taking over from ASX Limited on August 1, ASIC commissioner Shane Tregillis warned of "a number of potential market abuses" and noted that algorithms can damage the integrity of the market. continued.....

    Trading for Beginners: Achieve profitability by discovering the stock market basics for success. By Stock Market Prowess

    10 Reasons to be Cautious for the 2011 Market Outlook

    By David Rosenberg

    No: 1 In Barron’s survey, not one strategist sees the prospect for a market decline. The percentage of brokerage house analysts and economists to raise their 2011 GDP forecasts has risen substantially. Out of 49 economists surveyed, 35 say the U.S. economy will outperform the already upwardly revised GDP forecasts, only 14 say we will underperform. This is capitulation of historical proportions.  Read On.......

    Trading for Beginners: Achieve profitability by discovering the stock market basics for success. By Stock Market Prowess

    Making Money from Nothing


    For the US stock market, the past ten years have earned the title "the lost decade." The next ten years probably will not be much different: The market will likely set record highs and multi-year lows, but index investors and buy-and-hold stock collectors will find themselves not far from where they started.

    Every long-lasting bull market of the past two centuries (and we had a supersized one from 1982 to 2000) was followed by a sideways market that lasted about 15 years. The Great Depression was the only exception. Despite common perception, secular markets spend a lot of time continued....


    Trading for Beginners: Achieve profitability by discovering the stock market basics for success. By Stock Market Prowess