Master Credit Plan of the Global Elite

By Dan Denning   The Daily Reckoning

At last. A prediction of the world’s economic future that is as bombastic and grandiose on the positive side as your editor’s is on the negative side.

Investment and urbanisation are the twin engines that will drive global GDP from $62 trillion last year to $143 trillion by 2030, according to Gerard Lyons at London’s Standard Chartered.

This is the superest of “super cycles. Continued....

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The S&P500 in 2011: What’s past is prologue?

Global Macro Monitor 

Let’s be honest and a little humble as we venture into the “great wide open” of 2011. Nobody really has a clue what path the markets will take.  

Given what we’ve all been through and the uncertainty and plethora of risks going into the new year, we feel a bit like Rod Taylor and Teppi Hedren mid-movie into Hitchcock’s,  The Birds.  

And those sea gulls look a lot like black swans to us. Continued.....

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Markets Rediscover the Fundamentals

By MARK GONGLOFF  The Wall Street Journal

Greed and fear no longer seem to be playing such a violent game of tug-of-war with markets.

After a long stretch in which macroeconomic hopes and fears dictated the rise and fall of stocks, bonds and commodities—known in the market as the risk-on, risk-off trade—there are tentative signs that more-traditional concerns are reasserting their power.

In recent weeks, read on.....

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Can China Learn from US Mistakes?

By Greg Canavan  The Daily Reckoning

Back in the heady days of the credit boom, nearly all markets were reaching record highs at the same time. Now, after the bust, some have recovered better than others. The ‘topping out’ thesis is not so uniform.

What we mean is that the liquidity-induced recovery in the global economy, and equity and commodity markets, may be coming to an end. Not as in running into a brick wall, but a slow dawning on investors that all is not right in the world. Continued...

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Big Tops

By Greg Canavan  The Daily Reckoning

Is the market beginning to top out? We think so.

Last night, the S&P500 fell 1 per cent, although the large cap Dow Jones Industrials index only fell a few points. Nothing too dramatic, and certainly not enough to scare the permanently bullish, but it’s probably a sign of things to come. Continued.....

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Long Term Stock Market Growth (1871-2010)

By Barry Ritholtz - The Big Picture

I was kicking around some of the outstanding charts at Visualizing Economics, when these two below leapt out at me.

The first chart shows the long term growth of the US stock market, using a smoothed exponential trendline, while the second adjusts the overall chart using a log scale.

As I look at these two charts, a few things stand out to me: Read on......

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The Biggest Resource Stories for 2011…and Beyond!

By Byron King The Daily Reckoning

I'm going to countdown three of 2010's biggest resource stories - not to reminisce about profitable investments from the year gone by, but to highlight what I believe will be very profitable investments in the year ahead...continued

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Long-Term Trends vs. Short-Term Corrections

By Eric J. Fry The Daily Reckoning

long-term trends sometimes succumb to large, short- term corrections.........  In a bull market, such setbacks are buying opportunities. In bear markets, every price is a selling opportunity......... more.....

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Five Chinese trade tricks

By Steve Hargreaves, senior writer CNNMoney

Chinese President Hu Jintao is visiting the United States this week, and simmering trade disputes between the two countries will likely be high on the agenda.

The United States and China, the world's largest and second largest economies respectively, do a brisk business in trade.

But the trade relationship between the two nations isn't balanced. The United States  continued......

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Sharemarket watchdog targets computer trading

Andrew Main 

From:The Australian 

RECENTLY appointed sharemarket surveillance manager ASIC is planning a crackdown on potentially dangerous algorithmic share trading as the worldwide trend to automated orders takes hold here.

In its first supervision report since taking over from ASX Limited on August 1, ASIC commissioner Shane Tregillis warned of "a number of potential market abuses" and noted that algorithms can damage the integrity of the market. continued.....

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10 Reasons to be Cautious for the 2011 Market Outlook

By David Rosenberg

No: 1 In Barron’s survey, not one strategist sees the prospect for a market decline. The percentage of brokerage house analysts and economists to raise their 2011 GDP forecasts has risen substantially. Out of 49 economists surveyed, 35 say the U.S. economy will outperform the already upwardly revised GDP forecasts, only 14 say we will underperform. This is capitulation of historical proportions.  Read On.......

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Making Money from Nothing

By Vitaliy N. Katsenelson • Daily Reckoning

For the US stock market, the past ten years have earned the title "the lost decade." The next ten years probably will not be much different: The market will likely set record highs and multi-year lows, but index investors and buy-and-hold stock collectors will find themselves not far from where they started.

Every long-lasting bull market of the past two centuries (and we had a supersized one from 1982 to 2000) was followed by a sideways market that lasted about 15 years. The Great Depression was the only exception. Despite common perception, secular markets spend a lot of time continued....

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